India’s benchmark equity index, the Nifty 50, is on track to complete a historic milestone by recording positive returns for the tenth consecutive calendar year, marking its longest winning streak since inception.
Unless there is a sharp reversal in the remaining trading sessions of the year, the Nifty is set to close 2025 with gains of over 10 per cent. Since December 31, 2015, the index has delivered uninterrupted annual returns, translating into a compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) of about 12.6 per cent over the past decade, even after factoring in the Covid-19 years.
While this performance is lower than the Nifty’s long-term CAGR of around 15.5 per cent since inception, it compares favourably with global peers. Over the same period, the Dow Jones Industrial Average delivered a CAGR of roughly 11 per cent, while China’s Shanghai Composite Index recorded a muted growth of just over one per cent. The Nasdaq Composite, supported by big technology and artificial intelligence-led gains, outperformed with a CAGR of more than 16 per cent.
Market participants note that Indian equities have remained resilient despite several headwinds, including the absence of a trade agreement with the US, sustained foreign institutional investor (FII) selling, and pressure on the rupee. Investor confidence has largely been underpinned by optimism around India’s long-term economic growth prospects.
India continues to be the fastest-growing major economy and remains a preferred destination for Global Capability Centres (GCCs), which support advanced research, engineering, and innovation. The country currently hosts close to 1,900 GCCs, a number expected to rise to around 2,500 by 2030, reinforcing the structural growth narrative.
Domestic factors have also played a key role in market stability. Retail investors have maintained strong systematic investment plan (SIP) inflows, helping offset foreign selling. By the end of November 2025, SIP contributions crossed ₹3 lakh crore, accounting for nearly 37 per cent of total gross inflows into active equity mutual funds, up significantly from the previous year.
From a technical perspective, analysts note that the recent break in the pattern of lower highs and lower lows suggests improved near-term sentiment. The Nifty currently has strong support around the 25,700 level, with resistance seen near 26,325. Market experts advise investors to stay invested while keeping an eye on global developments.
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